Category:
Markets in Motion
Markets in Motion – Deja Vu

Markets in Motion – Deja Vu

The last couple of months have felt reminiscent of 2022. Since the end of July long-term treasuries have delivered a return of -14.20%, while the S&P 500 has returned -7.69%. Downward momentum has yet to abate, as the technical picture for stocks continues to deteriorate and yields have hit 10-year highs.

Markets In Motion – Mixed Message

Markets In Motion – Mixed Message

When bull markets end, they seldom go gentle into the night. As the market turns down, sharp rallies can occur, inflicting enormous pain on anyone underweight or short the declining asset class....

Markets In Motion – Something Broke

Markets In Motion – Something Broke

A few weeks ago we shared our thoughts on the SVB collapse and the regional bank crisis (link). As we enter the fourth week of this crisis, we can begin to draw more conclusions. First, banks do not seem to have the same balance sheet problems as in 2008.

Markets In Motion – A New Bull Market?

Markets In Motion – A New Bull Market?

Animal spirits are alive and well as financial conditions have eased considerably the past few months – lower dollar, lower yields, lower volatility. Add reduced inflationary pressure and a more dovish Federal Reserve — that equals a significant rally in global equities.

Markets in Motion – A Game of Chicken: Who Blinks First?

Markets in Motion – A Game of Chicken: Who Blinks First?

After a strong rally since the beginning of summer, stocks began to retreat after the S&P 500 rejected its 200-day moving average last week. The focus has returned to the macro backdrop, with a series of weak activity readings across the global economy. US housing data remains extremely weak with mortgage rates moving up again, mortgage applications falling, and other metrics continuing to miss. To add to that, July inflation came in lower than expected and decelerated.